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Qualifications
BSc (Hons) Univ Melb; PhD, Univ Melb
Professional experience
Roger Jones is a Professorial Research Fellow at the Centre for
Strategic Economic Studies (CSES) at Victoria University, joining VU in
early 2009. Previously he worked for CSIRO for thirteen years to early
2009. Trained as a physical scientist, he now applies an
interdisciplinary focus to understanding climate change risk, bridging
science, economics and policy, particularly in developing methodologies
for assessing adaptation and mitigation strategies for managing climate
change risks. These have been used widely in Australia and
internationally, contributing to the Australian Climate Change
Adaptation Strategy, the United Nations Development Program Adaptation
Policy Frameworks and a range of individual projects. He was a convening
Lead Author on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Working
Group II Fourth Assessment Report Chapter on New Methods and
Characterisations of the Future released in 2007. He is currently
working on a range of adaptation projects and developing new methods for
assessing mitigation policy with Professor Peter Sheehan of the CSES.
Publications
Journal articles (refereed)
Austin, J., Zhang, L.,
Jones, R.N., Durack, P., Dawes, W. and Hairsine, P. (2010)
Climate change impact on water and salt balances: an assessment of the
impact of climate change on catchment salt and water balances in the
Murray-Darling Basin, Australia. Climatic Change,
10.1007/s10584-009-9714-z.
Kirono, D.G.C.,
Jones, R.N. and Cleugh, H.A. (2009) Pan-evaporation measurements and
Morton-point potential evaporation estimates in Australia: are their
trends the same? International Journal of Climatology, 29,
711–718.
http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/119882039/abstract?CRETRY=1&SRETRY=0
Sheehan, P., Jones,
R.N., Jolley, A., Preston, B.L., Clark, M., Durack, P.J., Islam, S.,
Sun, F. and Whetton, P.H. (2008) Climate change and the new world
economy: implications for the nature and timing of policy responses,
Global Environmental Change, 18, 380–396.
http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0959378008000265
Jones, R.N.
and Yohe, G. (2008) Applying risk analytic techniques to the integrated
assessment of climate policy benefits, The Integrated Assessment
Journal, 8, 123–149.
http://journals.sfu.ca/int_assess/index.php/iaj/article/download/274/238
Preston, B.L. and
Jones, R.N. (2008) A national assessment of the sensitivity of
Australian runoff to climate change, Atmospheric Science Letters,
9, 202–208.
http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/120748365/abstract
Preston, B.L. and
Jones, R.N. (2008) Screening climatic and non-climatic risks to
Australian catchments. Geographical Research, 46, 258–274.
http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/121371200/abstract
Preston, B.L. and
Jones, R.N. (2008) Evaluating sources of uncertainty in Australian
runoff projections. Advances in Water Resources, 31,
758-775.
http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0309170808000134
Kirono, D.G.C. and
Jones, R.N. (2007) A bivariate test for detecting
inhomogeneities in pan evaporation time-series, Australian
Meterological Magazine, 56, 93–103.
http://www.bom.gov.au/amm/200702/kirono.pdf
Jones, R.N.,
Dettman, P., Park, G., Rogers, M. and White, T. (2007) The relationship
between adaptation and mitigation in managing climate change risks: a
regional approach, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global
Change, 12, 685–712.
http://www.springerlink.com/index/549423HV80630228.pdf
Mpelasoka, F.S.,
Hennessy, K.J., Jones, R.N. and Bates, B.C. (2007) Comparison of
suitable drought indices for climate change impacts assessment over
Australia towards resource management. International Journal of
Climatology, 28, 1283–1292. DOI: 10.1002/joc.1649.
http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/116841961/abstract
Barnett, J., Dessai,
S. and Jones, R.N. (2007) Vulnerability to climate variability
and change in East Timor, Ambio, 36, 372–378.
http://www.bioone.org/doi/abs/10.1579/0044-7447%282007%2936%5B372%3AVTCVAC%5D2.0.CO%3B2
Jones, R.N.,
Chiew, F.H.S., Boughton, W.B. and Zhang, L. (2006) Estimating the
sensitivity of mean annual runoff to climate change using selected
hydrological models, Advances in Water Resources, 29,
1419–1429.
http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0309170805002654
Luo, Q., Bellotti, W.D.,
Williams, M. and Jones, R.N. (2006) Probabilistic analysis of
potential impacts of climate change on wheat production in contrasting
environment of South Australia, World Resource Review, 17,
517-534.
Luo, Q., Jones, R.N.,
Williams, M., Bryan, B. and Bellotti, W.D. (2005) Construction of
probabilistic distributions of regional climate change and their
application in the risk analysis of wheat production. Climate
Research, 29, 41-52.
http://www.int-res.com/articles/cr2005/29/c029p041.pdf
Wooldridge, S., Done,
T., Berkelmans, R., Jones, R.N. and Marshall, P. (2005) Precursors
for resilience in coral communities in a warming climate: a belief
network approach, Marine Ecology Progress Series, 295,
157–169.
http://www.int-res.com/articles/meps2005/295/m295p157.pdf
Book chapters
Jones, R.
(2010) A risk management approach to climate change adaptation, in
Nottage, R.A.C., Wratt, D.S., Bornman, J.F., Jones, K. (eds.),
Climate change adaptation in New Zealand: Future scenarios and some
sectoral perspectives. New Zealand Climate Change Centre,
Wellington, 10–25.
http://www.nzclimatechangecentre.org/research/climate-change-adaptation-publication
Jones, R.N.
(2010) Water, in Stokes, C.J. and Howden, SM (eds), Climate change adaptation in Australia: Preparing agriculture, forestry
and fisheries for the future. CSIRO Publishing. Melbourne, 187-204.
Miller, C., Howden,
S.M. and Jones, R.N. (2010) Intensive livestock industries, in
Stokes, C.J. and Howden, SM (eds), Climate change adaptation in
Australia: Preparing agriculture, forestry and fisheries for the future.
CSIRO Publishing. Melbourne, 171-186.
Pittock, A.B. and
Jones, R.N. (2009) Adaptation to what and why? In Schipper, E.L.F.
and Burton, I. (Eds) The Earthscan Reader on Adaptation to Climate
Change. Earthscan, London (UK) and Sterling (USA), 35–62.
Carter, T.R.,
Jones, R.N., Lu, X., Bhadwal, S., Conde, C., Mearns, L.O., O’Neill,
B.C., Rounsevell, M.D.A. and Zurek, M.B. (2007) New Assessment Methods
and the Characterisation of Future Conditions. Climate Change 2007:
Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group
II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change, M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, C.E. Hanson,
P.J. van der Linden, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg2/ar4-wg2-chapter2.pdf
Done, T. and Jones,
R.N. (2006) Tropical coastal ecosystems and climate change
prediction: global and local risks, in Phinney, J.T., Strong, A.,
Skirving, W., Kleypas, J., Hoegh-Guldberg, H. (Eds), Coral Reefs and
Climate Change: Science and Management, American Geophysical Union,
Washington DC, 5–31.
Pittock, B., Abbs,
D.,, Suppiah, R. and Jones R.N. (2006) Climatic background to
past and future floods in Australia, in Poioni, A. (ed.) Floods in
and Arid Continent, Advances in Ecological Research, 39,
13–39.
Jones, R.N.
and Boer, R. (2005) Assessing Current Climate Risks, In: Lim, B., E.
Spanger-Siegfried, I. Burton, E. Malone and S. Huq (Eds.),.Adaptation
Policy Frameworks for Climate Change: Developing Strategies, Policies
and Measures, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York,
91–118.
http://www.preventionweb.net/files/7995_APF.pdf#page=96
Jones, R.N.
and Mearns, L.O. (2005) Assessing Future Climate Risks, in Lim, B., E.
Spanger-Siegfried, I. Burton, E. Malone and S. Huq (Eds.), Adaptation
Policy Frameworks for Climate Change: Developing Strategies, Policies
and Measures, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York,
119–144.
http://www.preventionweb.net/files/7995_APF.pdf#page=124
Conference papers (refereed)
Jones, R. (2009) A
Risk Management Approach to Climate Change Adaptation, invited
keynote presentation to the Climate Change Adaptation: Managing the
Unavoidable Conference, New Zealand Climate Change Centre,
Wellington, 20-21 May.
Dewi, G.C.K., Jones, R.N., Kent, D. and
Leahy, P. (2009) Modelling lake levels under climate change
conditions: three closed lakes in Western Victoria. Proceedings 18th
World IMACS / MODSIM Congress, Cairns, Australia 13-17 July 2009, 6
pp.
Cai, W.J., and Jones, R.N.
(2005)
Response of potential evaporation to climate variability and change:
what GCMs simulate. R.M. Gifford, R.M. (ed), Pan evaporation: an
example of the detection and attribution of trends in climate
variables: proceedings of a workshop, Australian Academy of
Science, Canberra, 71-78.
http://www.rsbs.anu.edu.au/ResearchGroups/EBG/documents/AASReport_pan-evap_2004.pdf
Chiew, F.H.S., Jones, R.N.
and Boughton,
W.R. (2005). Modelling hydrologic sensitivity to climate conditions.
Proceedings of the 29th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium, the
Institution of Engineers Australia, Canberra, 9 pp.
Harrold, T.I., Jones, R.N.
and Watterson,
I.G. (2005) Applying climate changes simulated by GCMs to the
generation of fine-scale rainfall scenarios, Proceedings of the 29th
Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium, the Institution of
Engineers Australia, Canberra.
Research reports
Dewi, G.C.K.,
Jones, R.N., Kent, D. (2009) Modelling future lake levels and
salinity at three lakes, Western Victoria. A report prepared for the
Environment Protection Authority (EPA) Victoria, CSIRO Climate
Adaptation Flagship, Melbourne, 19 pp.
Jones, R.
and Webb, L. (2009) Regional and Sectoral Vulnerability to Climate
Change in Victoria. Report prepared for Victorian Department of
Treasury and Finance, Melbourne, Victoria, 113 pp.
Jones, R.N.
(2008) Water Resources, in Stokes, C.J. and Howden, SM (eds), An
overview of climate change adaptation in Australian primary
industries - impacts, options and priorities. Prepared for the
National Climate Change Research Strategy for Primary Industries by
the CSIRO Climate Adaptation National Research Flagship. CSIRO,
Canberra, 273–305.
http://www.csiro.au/files/files/plhg.pdf (warning: large file)
Miller, C.,
Howden, S.M. and Jones, R.N. (2008) Intensive livestock
industries, in Stokes, C.J. and Howden, SM (eds), An overview of
climate change adaptation in Australian primary industries -
impacts, options and priorities. Prepared for the National
Climate Change Research Strategy for Primary Industries by the CSIRO
Climate Adaptation National Research Flagship. CSIRO, Canberra,
259–272.
http://www.csiro.au/files/files/plhg.pdf (warning: large file)
Kirono, D.G.C.,
Jones, R.N. and Bathols, J.M. (2008) Climate change in Niue.
CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 26. pp.
Moss, R., Babiker,
W., Brinkman, S., Calvo, E., Carter, T., Edmonds, J., Elgizouli, I.,
Emori, S., Erda, L., Hibbard, K., Jones, R., Kainuma, M.,
Kelleher, J., Lamarque, J.F., Manning, M., Matthews, B., Meehl, J.,
Meyer, L., Mitchell, J., Nakicenovic, N., O’Neill, B., Pichs, R.,
Riahi, K., Rose, S., Runci, P., Stouffer, R., van Vuuren, D., Weyant,
J., Wilbanks, T., van Ypersele, J.P. and Zurek, M. (2008) Towards
New Scenarios for Analysis of Emissions, Climate Change, Impacts,
and Response Strategies. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,
Geneva, 132 pp.
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/supporting-material/expert-meeting-ts-scenarios.pdf
Sheehan, P.,
Jones, R.N., Jolley, A., Preston, B.L., Clark, M., Durack, P.J.,
Islam, S., Sun, F. and Whetton, P.H. (2006) Climate Change and the
New World Economy: Implications for the Nature and Timing of Policy
Responses, Climate Change Working Paper No 12, Centre for Strategic
Economic Studies, Victoria University, Melbourne.
http://www.cfses.com/documents/climate/12_Sheehan_Jones_et_al_Climate_Change_New_World.pdf
Jones, R.N.
and Preston, B.L. (2006) Climate change impacts, risk and the
benefits of mitigation: a report for the Energy Futures Forum.
CSIRO, Melbourne, 97 pp.
http://150.229.98.44/files/files/pb9u.pdf
Jones, R.N.
and Yohe, G. (2006) Applying risk analytic techniques to the
integrated assessment of climate policy benefits, Benefits of
Climate Policy July 2006 [Working paper], OECD Paris, 17 pp.
Sheehan, P.,
Jones, R.N., Jolley, A., Preston, B.L., Clark, M., Durack, P.J.,
Islam, S., Sun, F. and Whetton, P.H. (2006) Climate Change and the
Global Knowledge Economy: An Immediate Challenge, Climate Change
Working Paper No 11, Centre for Strategic Economic Studies, Victoria
University, Melbourne.
http://www.cfses.com/documents/climate/11_Sheehan_Jones_et_al_Climate_Change_.pdf
Kirono, D.G.C.,
Podger, G., Page, C.M. and Jones, R.N. (2006) Assessment of
the impacts of climate change on water supplies a consultancy report
prepared for Rous Water Regional Water Supply New South Wales
Department of Commerce. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research,
Melbourne, 57 pp.
http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/kironod_2006a.pdf
Preston, B.L. and
Jones, R.N. (2006) Climate change impacts on Australia and
the benefits of early action to reduce global greenhouse gas
emissions : a consultancy report for the Australian Business
Roundtable on Climate Change. CSIRO, Melbourne, 41 p.
http://csiro.au/files/files/p6fy.pdf
Suppiah, R.,
Preston, B.L., Whetton, P.H., McInnes, K.L., Jones, R.N., Macadam,
I., Bathols, J.M., and Kirono, D.G. C. (2006) Climate change under
enhanced greenhouse conditions in South Australia an updated report
on: assessment of climate change, impacts and risk management
strategies relevant to South Australia. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric
Research, Melbourne, 82 pp.
http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/suppiahr_2006a.pdf
Zhang, L., Austin,
J., Dawes, W., Hairsine, P., Durack, P. and Jones, R. (2005)
Implications of climate change for natural resource management: A
preliminary assessment of the impact of climate change on catchment
salt and water balances for selected catchments in Victoria, CSIRO
Land and Water, Canberra, 51 pp.
Crimp, S., Cai,
W.J., Abbs, D.J. and Jones, R.N. (2005) Climate change in
Queensland under enhanced greenhouse conditions: stakeholder
workshop report. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne,
15 pp.
Cai, W.J., Crimp,
S., Jones, R.N., McInnes, K.L., Durack, P.J., Bathols, J.M.
and Wilkison, S. (2005) Climate change in Queensland under enhanced
greenhouse conditions: final report 2004–5/Report on research
undertaken for Queensland Departments of State Development, Main
Roads, Health, Transport, Treasury, Public Works, Primary Industries
and Fisheries, Environmental Protection and Natural Resources and
Mines, Queensland Rail, SunWater, CS Energy. CSIRO Atmospheric
Research, Melbourne, 81 pp.
http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/AboutUs/Publications/ByType/Reports/ClimateChange/QldUnderEnhancedGreenhouse2004-2005/FullReport_HighQuality.pdf
Cai, W.J. and
Jones, R.N. (2005) Response of potential evaporation to climate
variability and change: what GCMs simulate. In: Pan evaporation: an
example of the detection and attribution of trends in climate
variables: proceedings of a workshop, Australian Academy of Science,
R. M. Gifford (editor). Canberra: Australian Academy of Science. p.
71-78.
http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/caiwj_2005a.pdf
Harle, K.,
Etheridge, D.M., Barbetti, M., Turney, C., Jones, R.N.,
Brooke, B., Whetton, P.H., van Ommen, T. D., Goodwin, I. and Haberle,
S. (2005) How past climate change can help reveal Australia’s
future: a public research document for the Australian Greenhouse
Office. CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 57 p.
http://www.climatechange.gov.au/science/publications/pubs/palaeo-evidence.pdf
Jones, R.N.
and Brooke, C. (2005) Adapting Australia's water resources to a
changing climate. CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 45 p.
http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/jonesrn_2005b.pdf
Jones, R.N.
and Durack, P.J. (2005) Estimating the impacts of climate change on
Victoria’s runoff using a hydrological sensitivity model, CSIRO
Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 47 pp.
http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/jonesrn_2005d.pdf
Macadam, I.,
McInnes, K.L., Durack, P.J. and Jones, R.N. (2005). Climate
change projections for SEDSIM modelling over North-East Australia
[restricted access]. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research,
Melbourne, 10 p.
Vivès, B. and
Jones, R.N. (2005) Detection of abrupt changes in Australian
decadal rainfall (1890–1989), CSIRO Atmospheric Research
Technical Paper No. 73, 54 pp.
http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/jonesrn_2005a.pdf
Howe, C.,
Jones, R.N., Maheepala, S. and Rhodes, B. (2005) Implications of
Climate Change for Melbourne’s Water Resources, Melbourne Water,
Melbourne, 26 pp.
http://www.melbournewater.com.au/content/library/news/whats_new/climate_change_study.pdf
Whetton, P.H.,
McInnes, K.L., Jones, R.N., Hennessy, K.J., Suppiah, R.,
Page, C.M., Bathols, J.M. and Durack, P.J. (2005) Australian climate
change projections for impact assessment and policy application: a
review. (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research Paper; 001) CSIRO
Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 34 p.
http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/whettonph_2005a.pdf
Links availabe to publications
prior to 2004
Refereed Papers
Jones, R.N.
(2004) Incorporating agency into climate change risk assessments,
Climatic Change, 67, 13-36.
http://www.springerlink.com/index/W815W42460038L80.pdf
Herron, N., Davis,
R. and Jones, R. (2002)
The effects of
large-scale afforestation and climate change on water allocation in
the Macquarie River Catchment, NSW, Australia, Journal of
Environmenal Management, 65, 369-381.
http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0301479702905621
Jones, R.N.
(2001) An environmental risk assessment/management framework for
climate change impact assessments, Natural Hazards, 23,
197-230.
http://www.springerlink.com/index/K778787311482411.pdf
Jones, R.N.,
McMahon, T.A. and Bowler, J.M. (2001) Modelling historical lake
levels and recent climate change at three closed lakes, Western
Victoria, Australia (c.1840-1990), Journal of Hydrology,
246, 158-179.
http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0022169401003699
Jones, R.N.
(2000) Analysing the risk of climate change using an irrigation
demand model, Climate Research, 14, 89-100.
http://www.int-res.com/articles/cr/14/c014p089.pdf
Conference
Papers/Extended Abstracts (Refereed)
Howden,
S.M. and Jones, R.N. (2004) Risk assessment of climate change
impacts on Australia’s wheat industry, in Fischer T et al. (eds)
New directions for a diverse planet: Proceedings for the 4th
International Crop Science Congress, Brisbane, Australia, 26
September - 1 October 2004.
http://www.cropscience.org.au/icsc2004/symposia/6/2/1848_howdensm.htm
Jones, R.N.
and Page, C.M. (2001) Assessing the risk of climate change on the
water resources of the Macquarie River Catchment, in Ghassemi, F.,
Whetton, P., Little, R. and Littleboy, M. (eds.), Integrating
Models for Natural Resources Management across Disciplines, issues
and scales (Part 2), Modsim 2001 International Congress on
Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of
Australia and New Zealand, Canberra, 673–678.
http://aiaccproject.org/resources/ele_lib_docs/rjones.pdf
Book
Chapters
Jones, R.N.
(2004) Managing Climate Change Risks, in Agrawal, S. and
Corfee-Morlot, J. (eds.), The Benefits of Climate Change
Policies: Analytical and Framework Issues, OECD, Paris, 249–298.
http://books.google.com.au/books?hl=en&lr=&id=vH0tPxv8uFQC&oi=fnd&pg=PA249&ots=gLIaaqY6e6&sig=b8ztgNSGzXE-OiUljRJUCn3LYU8
Jones, R.N.
and Pittock, A.B. (2002) Climate change and water resources in an
arid continent: managing uncertainty and risk in Australia, in
Beniston. M. (ed.) Climatic Change: Implications for the
Hydrological Cycle and for Water management, Advances in Global
Change Research, 10, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht
and Boston, 465–501.
http://www.springerlink.com/index/r537881w1q715017.pdf
Carter, T.R., La
Rovere, E. L., Jones, R.N., Leemans, R., Mearns, L.O.,
Nakicenovic, N., Pittock, A.B., Semenov, S.M., and Skea, J.,
Co-ordinating and lead authors. (2001). Developing and applying
scenarios. In: Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation, and
vulnerability: contribution of Working Group II to the third
assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
J.J. McCarthy, and others (editors). Cambridge University Press, New
York, 145–190.
http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg2/pdf/wg2TARchap3.pdf
Reports
Done, T., Whetton,
P., Jones, R.N., Berkelmans, R., Lough, J., Skirving, W. and
Wooldridge, S., (2003) Global Climate Change and Coral Bleaching
on the Great Barrier Reef, Final Report to the State of
Queensland Greenhouse Taskforce through the Department of Natural
Resources and Mines, QDNRM, Brisbane,
http://www.nrm.qld.gov.au/science/pdf/barrier_reef_report_1.pdf
and
http://www.nrm.qld.gov.au/science/pdf/barrier_reef_report_2.pdf
Howden, S.M. and
Jones, R.N. (2001) Costs and benefits of CO2 increase and
climate change on the Australian wheat industry, Australian
Greenhouse Office, Canberra, Australia,
http://www.greenhouse.gov.au/science/wheat/
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