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Roger Jones
Professorial Research Fellow
Phone number:
(03) 9919 1992
Email address:
roger.jones@vu.edu.au
 

Qualifications
BSc (Hons) Univ Melb; PhD, Univ Melb

Professional experience
Roger Jones is a Professorial Research Fellow at the Centre for Strategic Economic Studies (CSES) at Victoria University, joining VU in early 2009. Previously he worked for CSIRO for thirteen years to early 2009. Trained as a physical scientist, he now applies an interdisciplinary focus to understanding climate change risk, bridging science, economics and policy, particularly in developing methodologies for assessing adaptation and mitigation strategies for managing climate change risks. These have been used widely in Australia and internationally, contributing to the Australian Climate Change Adaptation Strategy, the United Nations Development Program Adaptation Policy Frameworks and a range of individual projects. He was a convening Lead Author on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Working Group II Fourth Assessment Report Chapter on New Methods and Characterisations of the Future released in 2007. He is currently working on a range of adaptation projects and developing new methods for assessing mitigation policy with Professor Peter Sheehan of the CSES.

Publications

Journal articles (refereed)

Austin, J., Zhang, L., Jones, R.N., Durack, P., Dawes, W. and Hairsine, P. (2010) Climate change impact on water and salt balances: an assessment of the impact of climate change on catchment salt and water balances in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia. Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-009-9714-z.

Kirono, D.G.C., Jones, R.N. and Cleugh, H.A. (2009) Pan-evaporation measurements and Morton-point potential evaporation estimates in Australia: are their trends the same? International Journal of Climatology, 29, 711–718.
http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/119882039/abstract?CRETRY=1&SRETRY=0

Sheehan, P., Jones, R.N., Jolley, A., Preston, B.L., Clark, M., Durack, P.J., Islam, S., Sun, F. and Whetton, P.H. (2008) Climate change and the new world economy: implications for the nature and timing of policy responses, Global Environmental Change, 18, 380–396. http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0959378008000265

Jones, R.N. and Yohe, G. (2008) Applying risk analytic techniques to the integrated assessment of climate policy benefits, The Integrated Assessment Journal, 8, 123–149. http://journals.sfu.ca/int_assess/index.php/iaj/article/download/274/238

Preston, B.L. and Jones, R.N. (2008) A national assessment of the sensitivity of Australian runoff to climate change, Atmospheric Science Letters, 9, 202–208. http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/120748365/abstract

Preston, B.L. and Jones, R.N.  (2008) Screening climatic and non-climatic risks to Australian catchments. Geographical Research, 46, 258–274. http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/121371200/abstract

Preston, B.L. and Jones, R.N. (2008) Evaluating sources of uncertainty in Australian runoff projections. Advances in Water Resources, 31, 758-775. http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0309170808000134

Kirono, D.G.C. and Jones, R.N. (2007) A bivariate test for detecting inhomogeneities in pan evaporation time-series, Australian Meterological Magazine, 56, 93–103. http://www.bom.gov.au/amm/200702/kirono.pdf

Jones, R.N., Dettman, P., Park, G., Rogers, M. and White, T. (2007) The relationship between adaptation and mitigation in managing climate change risks: a regional approach, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 12, 685–712. http://www.springerlink.com/index/549423HV80630228.pdf

Mpelasoka, F.S., Hennessy, K.J., Jones, R.N. and Bates, B.C. (2007) Comparison of suitable drought indices for climate change impacts assessment over Australia towards resource management. International Journal of Climatology, 28, 1283–1292. DOI: 10.1002/joc.1649. http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/116841961/abstract

Barnett, J., Dessai, S. and Jones, R.N. (2007) Vulnerability to climate variability and change in East Timor, Ambio, 36, 372–378.
http://www.bioone.org/doi/abs/10.1579/0044-7447%282007%2936%5B372%3AVTCVAC%5D2.0.CO%3B2

Jones, R.N., Chiew, F.H.S., Boughton, W.B. and Zhang, L. (2006) Estimating the sensitivity of mean annual runoff to climate change using selected hydrological models, Advances in Water Resources, 29, 1419–1429. http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0309170805002654

Luo, Q., Bellotti, W.D., Williams, M. and Jones, R.N. (2006) Probabilistic analysis of potential impacts of climate change on wheat production in contrasting environment of South Australia, World Resource Review, 17, 517-534.

Luo, Q., Jones, R.N., Williams, M., Bryan, B. and Bellotti, W.D. (2005) Construction of probabilistic distributions of regional climate change and their application in the risk analysis of wheat production. Climate Research, 29, 41-52. http://www.int-res.com/articles/cr2005/29/c029p041.pdf

Wooldridge, S., Done, T., Berkelmans, R., Jones, R.N. and Marshall, P. (2005) Precursors for resilience in coral communities in a warming climate: a belief network approach, Marine Ecology Progress Series, 295, 157–169.
http://www.int-res.com/articles/meps2005/295/m295p157.pdf

Book chapters

Jones, R. (2010) A risk management approach to climate change adaptation, in Nottage, R.A.C., Wratt, D.S., Bornman, J.F., Jones, K. (eds.), Climate change adaptation in New Zealand: Future scenarios and some sectoral perspectives. New Zealand Climate Change Centre, Wellington, 10–25.
http://www.nzclimatechangecentre.org/research/climate-change-adaptation-publication 

Jones, R.N. (2010) Water, in Stokes, C.J. and Howden, SM (eds), Climate change adaptation in Australia: Preparing agriculture, forestry and fisheries for the future. CSIRO Publishing. Melbourne, 187-204.

Miller, C., Howden, S.M. and Jones, R.N. (2010) Intensive livestock industries, in Stokes, C.J. and Howden, SM (eds), Climate change adaptation in Australia: Preparing agriculture, forestry and fisheries for the future. CSIRO Publishing. Melbourne, 171-186.

Pittock, A.B. and Jones, R.N. (2009) Adaptation to what and why? In Schipper, E.L.F. and Burton, I. (Eds) The Earthscan Reader on Adaptation to Climate Change. Earthscan, London (UK) and Sterling (USA), 35–62.

Carter, T.R., Jones, R.N., Lu, X., Bhadwal, S., Conde, C., Mearns, L.O., O’Neill, B.C., Rounsevell, M.D.A. and Zurek, M.B. (2007)  New Assessment Methods and the Characterisation of Future Conditions. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, M.L. Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, C.E. Hanson, P.J. van der Linden, Eds., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg2/ar4-wg2-chapter2.pdf

Done, T. and Jones, R.N. (2006) Tropical coastal ecosystems and climate change prediction: global and local risks, in Phinney, J.T., Strong, A., Skirving, W., Kleypas, J., Hoegh-Guldberg, H. (Eds), Coral Reefs and Climate Change: Science and Management, American Geophysical Union, Washington DC,  5–31.

Pittock, B., Abbs, D.,, Suppiah, R. and Jones R.N. (2006) Climatic background to past and future floods in Australia, in Poioni, A. (ed.) Floods in and Arid Continent, Advances in Ecological Research, 39, 13–39.

Jones, R.N. and Boer, R. (2005) Assessing Current Climate Risks, In: Lim, B., E. Spanger-Siegfried, I. Burton, E. Malone and S. Huq (Eds.),.Adaptation Policy Frameworks for Climate Change: Developing Strategies, Policies and Measures, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, 91–118.
http://www.preventionweb.net/files/7995_APF.pdf#page=96

Jones, R.N. and Mearns, L.O. (2005) Assessing Future Climate Risks, in Lim, B., E. Spanger-Siegfried, I. Burton, E. Malone and S. Huq (Eds.), Adaptation Policy Frameworks for Climate Change: Developing Strategies, Policies and Measures, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge and New York, 119–144.
http://www.preventionweb.net/files/7995_APF.pdf#page=124

Conference papers (refereed)

Jones, R. (2009) A Risk Management Approach to Climate Change Adaptation, invited keynote presentation to the Climate Change Adaptation: Managing the Unavoidable Conference, New Zealand Climate Change Centre, Wellington, 20-21 May.

Dewi, G.C.K., Jones, R.N., Kent, D. and Leahy, P. (2009) Modelling lake levels under climate change conditions: three closed lakes in Western Victoria. Proceedings 18th World IMACS / MODSIM Congress, Cairns, Australia 13-17 July 2009, 6 pp.

Cai, W.J., and Jones, R.N. (2005) Response of potential evaporation to climate variability and change: what GCMs simulate. R.M. Gifford, R.M. (ed), Pan evaporation: an example of the detection and attribution of trends in climate variables: proceedings of a workshop, Australian Academy of Science, Canberra, 71-78. http://www.rsbs.anu.edu.au/ResearchGroups/EBG/documents/AASReport_pan-evap_2004.pdf

Chiew, F.H.S., Jones, R.N. and Boughton, W.R. (2005). Modelling hydrologic sensitivity to climate conditions. Proceedings of the 29th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium, the Institution of Engineers Australia, Canberra, 9 pp.

Harrold, T.I., Jones, R.N. and Watterson, I.G. (2005) Applying climate changes simulated by GCMs to the generation of fine-scale rainfall scenarios, Proceedings of the 29th Hydrology and Water Resources Symposium, the Institution of Engineers Australia, Canberra.

Research reports

Dewi, G.C.K., Jones, R.N., Kent, D. (2009) Modelling future lake levels and salinity at three lakes, Western Victoria. A report prepared for the Environment Protection Authority (EPA) Victoria, CSIRO Climate Adaptation Flagship, Melbourne, 19 pp.

Jones, R. and Webb, L. (2009) Regional and Sectoral Vulnerability to Climate Change in Victoria. Report prepared for Victorian Department of Treasury and Finance, Melbourne, Victoria, 113 pp.

Jones, R.N. (2008) Water Resources, in Stokes, C.J. and Howden, SM (eds), An overview of climate change adaptation in Australian primary industries - impacts, options and priorities.  Prepared for the National Climate Change Research Strategy for Primary Industries by the CSIRO Climate Adaptation National Research Flagship. CSIRO, Canberra, 273–305. http://www.csiro.au/files/files/plhg.pdf (warning: large file)

Miller, C., Howden, S.M. and Jones, R.N. (2008) Intensive livestock industries, in Stokes, C.J. and Howden, SM (eds), An overview of climate change adaptation in Australian primary industries - impacts, options and priorities.  Prepared for the National Climate Change Research Strategy for Primary Industries by the CSIRO Climate Adaptation National Research Flagship. CSIRO, Canberra, 259–272. http://www.csiro.au/files/files/plhg.pdf (warning: large file)

Kirono, D.G.C., Jones, R.N. and Bathols, J.M. (2008) Climate change in Niue. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne,  26. pp.

Moss, R., Babiker, W., Brinkman, S., Calvo, E., Carter, T., Edmonds, J., Elgizouli, I., Emori, S., Erda, L., Hibbard, K., Jones, R., Kainuma, M., Kelleher, J., Lamarque, J.F., Manning, M., Matthews, B., Meehl, J., Meyer, L., Mitchell, J., Nakicenovic, N., O’Neill, B., Pichs, R., Riahi, K., Rose, S., Runci, P., Stouffer, R., van Vuuren, D., Weyant, J., Wilbanks, T., van Ypersele, J.P. and Zurek, M. (2008) Towards New Scenarios for Analysis of Emissions, Climate Change, Impacts, and Response Strategies. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Geneva, 132 pp.
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/supporting-material/expert-meeting-ts-scenarios.pdf

Sheehan, P., Jones, R.N., Jolley, A., Preston, B.L., Clark, M., Durack, P.J., Islam, S., Sun, F. and Whetton, P.H. (2006) Climate Change and the New World Economy: Implications for the Nature and Timing of Policy Responses, Climate Change Working Paper No 12, Centre for Strategic Economic Studies, Victoria University, Melbourne. http://www.cfses.com/documents/climate/12_Sheehan_Jones_et_al_Climate_Change_New_World.pdf

Jones, R.N. and Preston, B.L. (2006) Climate change impacts, risk and the benefits of mitigation: a report for the Energy Futures Forum. CSIRO, Melbourne, 97 pp. http://150.229.98.44/files/files/pb9u.pdf

Jones, R.N. and Yohe, G. (2006) Applying risk analytic techniques to the integrated assessment of climate policy benefits, Benefits of Climate Policy July 2006 [Working paper], OECD Paris, 17 pp.

Sheehan, P., Jones, R.N., Jolley, A., Preston, B.L., Clark, M., Durack, P.J., Islam, S., Sun, F. and Whetton, P.H. (2006) Climate Change and the Global Knowledge Economy: An Immediate Challenge, Climate Change Working Paper No 11, Centre for Strategic Economic Studies, Victoria University, Melbourne. http://www.cfses.com/documents/climate/11_Sheehan_Jones_et_al_Climate_Change_.pdf

Kirono, D.G.C., Podger, G., Page, C.M. and Jones, R.N. (2006) Assessment of the impacts of climate change on water supplies a consultancy report prepared for Rous Water Regional Water Supply New South Wales Department of Commerce. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 57 pp.
http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/kironod_2006a.pdf  

Preston, B.L. and Jones, R.N. (2006) Climate change impacts on Australia and the benefits of early action to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions : a consultancy report for the Australian Business Roundtable on Climate Change. CSIRO, Melbourne, 41 p. http://csiro.au/files/files/p6fy.pdf

Suppiah, R., Preston, B.L., Whetton, P.H., McInnes, K.L., Jones, R.N., Macadam, I., Bathols, J.M., and Kirono, D.G. C. (2006) Climate change under enhanced greenhouse conditions in South Australia an updated report on: assessment of climate change, impacts and risk management strategies relevant to South Australia. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 82 pp.
http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/suppiahr_2006a.pdf

Zhang, L., Austin, J., Dawes, W., Hairsine, P., Durack, P. and Jones, R. (2005) Implications of climate change for natural resource management: A preliminary assessment of the impact of climate change on catchment salt and water balances for selected catchments in Victoria, CSIRO Land and Water, Canberra, 51 pp.

Crimp, S., Cai, W.J., Abbs, D.J. and Jones, R.N. (2005) Climate change in Queensland under enhanced greenhouse conditions: stakeholder workshop report. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 15 pp.

Cai, W.J., Crimp, S., Jones, R.N., McInnes, K.L., Durack, P.J., Bathols, J.M. and Wilkison, S. (2005) Climate change in Queensland under enhanced greenhouse conditions: final report 2004–5/Report on research undertaken for Queensland Departments of State Development, Main Roads, Health, Transport, Treasury, Public Works, Primary Industries and Fisheries, Environmental Protection and Natural Resources and Mines, Queensland Rail, SunWater, CS Energy. CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 81 pp. http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/AboutUs/Publications/ByType/Reports/ClimateChange/QldUnderEnhancedGreenhouse2004-2005/FullReport_HighQuality.pdf

Cai, W.J. and Jones, R.N. (2005) Response of potential evaporation to climate variability and change: what GCMs simulate. In: Pan evaporation: an example of the detection and attribution of trends in climate variables: proceedings of a workshop, Australian Academy of Science, R. M. Gifford (editor). Canberra: Australian Academy of Science. p. 71-78. http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/caiwj_2005a.pdf

Harle, K., Etheridge, D.M., Barbetti, M., Turney, C., Jones, R.N., Brooke, B., Whetton, P.H., van Ommen, T. D., Goodwin, I. and Haberle, S. (2005) How past climate change can help reveal Australia’s future: a public research document for the Australian Greenhouse Office. CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 57 p. http://www.climatechange.gov.au/science/publications/pubs/palaeo-evidence.pdf

Jones, R.N. and Brooke, C. (2005) Adapting Australia's water resources to a changing climate. CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 45 p.
http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/jonesrn_2005b.pdf

Jones, R.N. and Durack, P.J. (2005) Estimating the impacts of climate change on Victoria’s runoff using a hydrological sensitivity model, CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 47 pp.
http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/jonesrn_2005d.pdf

Macadam, I., McInnes, K.L., Durack, P.J. and Jones, R.N. (2005). Climate change projections for SEDSIM modelling over North-East Australia [restricted access]. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 10 p.

Vivès, B. and Jones, R.N. (2005) Detection of abrupt changes in Australian decadal rainfall (1890–1989), CSIRO Atmospheric Research Technical Paper No. 73, 54 pp. http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/jonesrn_2005a.pdf

Howe, C., Jones, R.N., Maheepala, S. and Rhodes, B. (2005) Implications of Climate Change for Melbourne’s Water Resources, Melbourne Water, Melbourne, 26 pp. http://www.melbournewater.com.au/content/library/news/whats_new/climate_change_study.pdf

Whetton, P.H., McInnes, K.L., Jones, R.N., Hennessy, K.J., Suppiah, R., Page, C.M., Bathols, J.M. and Durack, P.J. (2005) Australian climate change projections for impact assessment and policy application: a review. (CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research Paper; 001) CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 34 p.
http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/whettonph_2005a.pdf

Links availabe to publications prior to 2004

Refereed Papers

Jones, R.N. (2004) Incorporating agency into climate change risk assessments, Climatic Change, 67, 13-36. http://www.springerlink.com/index/W815W42460038L80.pdf

Herron, N., Davis, R. and Jones, R. (2002) The effects of large-scale afforestation and climate change on water allocation in the Macquarie River Catchment, NSW, Australia, Journal of Environmenal Management, 65, 369-381. http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0301479702905621

Jones, R.N. (2001) An environmental risk assessment/management framework for climate change impact assessments, Natural Hazards, 23, 197-230. http://www.springerlink.com/index/K778787311482411.pdf

Jones, R.N., McMahon, T.A. and Bowler, J.M. (2001) Modelling historical lake levels and recent climate change at three closed lakes, Western Victoria, Australia (c.1840-1990), Journal of Hydrology, 246, 158-179. http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0022169401003699

Jones, R.N. (2000) Analysing the risk of climate change using an irrigation demand model, Climate Research, 14, 89-100. http://www.int-res.com/articles/cr/14/c014p089.pdf

 Conference Papers/Extended Abstracts (Refereed)

 Howden, S.M. and Jones, R.N. (2004) Risk assessment of climate change impacts on Australia’s wheat industry, in Fischer T et al. (eds)  New directions for a diverse planet: Proceedings for the 4th International Crop Science Congress, Brisbane, Australia, 26 September - 1 October 2004. http://www.cropscience.org.au/icsc2004/symposia/6/2/1848_howdensm.htm

Jones, R.N. and Page, C.M. (2001) Assessing the risk of climate change on the water resources of the Macquarie River Catchment, in Ghassemi, F., Whetton, P., Little, R. and Littleboy, M. (eds.), Integrating Models for Natural Resources Management across Disciplines, issues and scales (Part 2), Modsim 2001 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, Canberra, 673–678. http://aiaccproject.org/resources/ele_lib_docs/rjones.pdf

 Book Chapters

 Jones, R.N. (2004) Managing Climate Change Risks, in Agrawal, S. and Corfee-Morlot, J. (eds.), The Benefits of Climate Change Policies: Analytical and Framework Issues, OECD, Paris, 249–298. http://books.google.com.au/books?hl=en&lr=&id=vH0tPxv8uFQC&oi=fnd&pg=PA249&ots=gLIaaqY6e6&sig=b8ztgNSGzXE-OiUljRJUCn3LYU8

Jones, R.N. and Pittock, A.B. (2002) Climate change and water resources in an arid continent: managing uncertainty and risk in Australia, in Beniston. M. (ed.) Climatic Change: Implications for the Hydrological Cycle and for Water management, Advances in Global Change Research, 10, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht and Boston, 465–501. http://www.springerlink.com/index/r537881w1q715017.pdf

Carter, T.R., La Rovere, E. L., Jones, R.N., Leemans, R., Mearns, L.O., Nakicenovic, N., Pittock, A.B., Semenov, S.M., and Skea, J., Co-ordinating and lead authors. (2001). Developing and applying scenarios. In: Climate change 2001: impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability: contribution of Working Group II to the third assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. J.J. McCarthy, and others (editors). Cambridge University Press, New York, 145–190. http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/tar/wg2/pdf/wg2TARchap3.pdf

 Reports

Done, T., Whetton, P., Jones, R.N., Berkelmans, R., Lough, J., Skirving, W. and Wooldridge, S., (2003) Global Climate Change and Coral Bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef, Final Report to the State of Queensland Greenhouse Taskforce through the Department of Natural Resources and Mines, QDNRM, Brisbane, http://www.nrm.qld.gov.au/science/pdf/barrier_reef_report_1.pdf  and http://www.nrm.qld.gov.au/science/pdf/barrier_reef_report_2.pdf

Howden, S.M. and Jones, R.N. (2001) Costs and benefits of CO2 increase and climate change on the Australian wheat industry, Australian Greenhouse Office, Canberra, Australia,  http://www.greenhouse.gov.au/science/wheat/

 

   


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